March 21, 2023
The bull run in Bitcoin prices since the beginning of 2023, during which the value of the currency increased by about 70%, has been coupled with a rise in trading volumes.
Recently, daily trade volumes increased to well than $70 billion, the biggest amount seen since the days following the FTX collapse.
When last traded, bitcoin was slightly over $28,000, up more than 40% from monthly lows under $20,000.
The 21 and 50-day Moving Averages of Volumes have recently crossed above the 200DMA of Volumes, and the former is on the verge of reaching its highest level since mid-2021, indicating that Bitcoin trade volumes do indeed appear to be in a clear uptrend.
High trade volumes occur when the market is moving aggressively, such as during severe bear and bullish market stages.
The market should remain in the first of these phases, in the hopes of the Bitcoin bulls.
On-chain Stats Are Also Trending Positively
The exchange-related improvements come at a time when on-chain data indicates that traffic on the Bitcoin blockchain is also increasing up.
The data below, provided by The Block, show that the volume of daily transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain just reached its highest level since early 2021.
The increase of active identities on the Bitcoin network, in contrast, hasn't been as significant in recent weeks, but it's still very close to multi-month highs.
Also, there has been an increase in the frequency with which new addresses are connecting to the Bitcoin blockchain for the first time.
Addresses with a balance that is not zero also keep climbing. Data provided by Glassnode indicates that this statistic recently crossed 45 million for the very first time.
Concerns about the financial crisis may drive bitcoin even higher.
Analysts believe that the world's largest currency by market cap could still rise despite mounting technical indicators suggesting the short-term Bitcoin market is heating up.
In recent weeks, Bitcoin has served as a safe haven, rising with gold as investors flocked to monetary alternatives that are resistant to the collapse of the established banking system.
Following Wednesday's policy decision, crisis concerns may grow if US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell fails to effectively communicate the prospect for policy tightening.
Mike McGlone, senior macro strategist at Trade Algo, believes that Bitcoin's recent price earnings growth versus gold may be a sign that a new "supercycle" is beginning.
McGlone also suggested that recent relative performance vs the majority of assets may be a sign that Bitcoin is shifting from trading as a risk asset to one that trades more like gold and US treasuries (i.e. a safe haven).